Auction houses are being the in-discuss leaders of the art market. Who detain capital more and more often choose the auction as the best warranty for its money future investment. But the question is: for how long an artwork can be a good investment? How many trends can change games?
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Let us take the example of last evening sale at Phillips... If 2019 had forecast revenue growth, the first 2020 art auction brought the clock back with revenue of £ 20.7 million, 40% less year on year. Four lots were withdrawn before the auction, probably for lack of interest, among which a geometric composition of Stella estimated at £ 2-3 million and a large 'sculpture' by KAWS (estimate 700-900 thousand £), and two lots' Italians', minor works by Stingel and Boetti.
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This raised pre-auction estimates to £ 18.2-25.4 million, achieved only through the addition of commissions. Of the 37 lots left, although 10 were already guaranteed by a third party and therefore 'sold' before the auction, six did not find buyers, including another KAWS job (estimate 300-400 thousand £), a symptom of fatigue of his market suddenly exploded last year but heavily dependent on Asian buyers largely absent for obvious reasons. Both of Anish Kapoor's proposed works have gone unsold including a potential millionaire mirror. Sold only in the after-auction a very recent work by Kusama estimated at £ 600-800 thousand. Eight of the ten guaranteed lots achieved revenues in the top ten values and in five cases in all probability the buyer was the guarantor, in the absence of other raises.